As there was little in the previous post about the underlying pace of the cars, I thought I’d do a quick run down of the race pace of the cars from my model fits. There are a few points of interest – the pace of Vettel and Button for starters. The medium tyre was about 0.5s slower than the soft – most cars I have between 0.4s and 0.7s slower – but there are notable exceptions.
It’s worth noting that some of the cars which were fast in the first stint on the soft tyres may have been deceptively fast, as the gap to the medium tyres is larger for most of these cars. But not all.
Vettel: Fastest on softs, no laps on mediums; had a clear half-second advantage on the soft tyres. Worth noting that Webber had a small 0.4s difference to the hards, so it looks like Red Bull were seriously fast in Valencia. Would have won.
Webber: +0.5s on softs, +0.9s on mediums (relative to Vettel’s pace on softs in both cases).
Button: +1.4s on softs, +2.8s on mediums. 0.8s from his team mate in both cases. Still struggling. Worth noting that McLaren were much slower on the medium tyre, and spent most of the race on it.
Hamilton: +0.6s on softs, +2.0s on mediums. There was a spurt in the middle of the first stint when the cars near the front showedHow he was in second place with 3 laps to go is quite something. The car did not have the pace.
Alonso: +1.3s on softs, +1.7s on mediums.
Massa: +1.5s on softs, +2.2s on mediums.
Schumacher: +1.6s on softs, +2.2s on mediums.
Rosberg: +1.3s on softs, +2.3s on mediums.
Raikkonen: +0.6s on softs, +1.8s on mediums. This is a minimum pace for Raikkonen – he was always in traffic.
Grosjean: +0.5s on softs, +1.5s on mediums. Easily next after the Red Bulls.
Di Resta: +1.4s on softs, +2.1s on mediums. Force India had real pace.
Hulkenburg: +1.4s on softs, +2.1s on mediums. With no KERS.
Kobayashi: +0.8s on softs, +1.5s on mediums. I’m a little sceptical about the pace on mediums, but it fits well. Looks like a big opportunity lost for Sauber especially given he was fourth in the first stint.
Perez: +1.3s on softs, +1.9s on mediums. Also quicker than most on the mediums, but clearly slower than his team-mate for a change.
Ricciardo: +1.7s on softs, +2.1s on mediums. Again quicker relatively on the mediums.
Vergne: +2.0s on softs, +2.7s on mediums. Slow.
Maldonado: +0.8s on softs, +2.0s on mediums. About as quick as Hamilton – but not the Lotus cars.
Senna: +1.8s on softs, +2.2s on mediums. Again much slower than his team-mate…
Kovalainen: +2.5s on softs, +3.2s on mediums. With no KERS. If we go for KERS being worth about 0.3s, than leaves him about 0.5s shy of the back of the midfield.
Petrov: +2.3s on softs, +3.3s on mediums.
De La Rosa: +4.0s on softs, +4.4s on mediums.
Pic: +4.0s on softs, +4.4s on mediums.
Just goes to show that all is not quite what it seems at first glance…